{"id":14,"date":"2013-07-24T16:30:28","date_gmt":"2013-07-24T15:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pierofraternali.wordpress.com\/?page_id=14"},"modified":"2026-04-10T11:15:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T10:15:40","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/giuliani.faculty.polimi.it\/?page_id=14","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"

Journal Papers<\/a> | Book Chapters<\/a> | Conference Papers<\/a><\/p>\n

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Journal Papers<\/h4>\n

Ascenso, G., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, J. P\u00e9rez-Aracil, S. Salcedo-Sanz, C. Bertini, P. Bonetti, G. Camps-Valls, M. \u00c1. Fern\u00e1ndez Torres, A. Ficch\u00ec, N. Linscheid, M. Merlo, G. Palcic, M. Reichstein, M. Restelli, A. Toreti, E. Walt, and A. Castelletti (2026), The Maturation of AI in Drought Science: A Review of Trends, Pitfalls, and Priorities<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 62<\/p>\n

Merlo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, Y. Du, I. Pechlivanidis, and A. Castelletti (2026), Tracking shifts in European drought hotspots<\/a>, Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, 21<\/p>\n

Borgomeo, E., L.A. Holmes, C.G. Billari, I. Bitsios, S. Brown, D.J. Dickson, E. Ford, M. Fry, J. Gaffney, S. Garg, M. Girona-Mata, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, N. Hayes, L.H. Hunt, A. Johnson, M. Latifi, A. Marinoni, H.G. Orr, E. Pemberton, R. Rowan-Robinson, V. Samadi, W. Shepherd, K. Sims, S. Spooner, J. Tlhomole, C.H.M. Tso, T. Williams, and X. Xia (2026), Diving into AI? Exploring the Potential for AI to Tackle Complex Water Quality Challenges<\/a>, Environmental Science & Technology<\/em><\/p>\n

Ascenso, G., L. Proserpio, L. Cavicchia, E. Scoccimarro, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2026), Estimating Mediterranean Cyclone activity via explainable machine learning<\/a>, Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation<\/em>, 3<\/p>\n

Sunkara, S.V., J.D. Herman and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2026), Adaptation triggers and indicator interpretability for dynamic reoptimization of reservoir control policies under climate change<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 62<\/p>\n

Bonetti, P., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, T. Bucci, V. Cardigliano, A. Metelli, M. Restelli, and A. Castelletti (2026), Impact-Based Drought Detection via Interpretable Machine Learning and Causal Discovery<\/a>, Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation<\/em>, 3<\/p>\n

Dainelli, F., J. P\u00e9rez-Aracil, G. Ascenso, E. Scoccimarro, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, S. Salcedo-Sanz, and A. Castelletti (2025), XAI-GPI: An Interpretable and Adaptive Machine Learning Genesis Index for Tropical Cyclones<\/a>, Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation<\/em>, 2<\/p>\n

McAdam, R. J. P\u00e9rez-Aracil, A. Squintu, C. Pel\u00e1ez-Rodr\u00edguez, F. Hansen, V. Torralba, H. Loukos, E. Zorita, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, L. Cavicchia, S. Salcedo-Sanz, and E. Scoccimarro, R., et al. (2025), Feature selection for data-driven seasonal forecasts of European heatwaves<\/a>, Communications Earth & Environment<\/em>, 6<\/p>\n

Scarpellini, L., A. Ficch\u00ec, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, G. Characklis, and A. Castelletti (2025), Parametric insurance for drought and market impacts mitigation in the hydropower sector,<\/a> Water Resources Research<\/em>, 61<\/p>\n

P\u00e9rez-Aracil, J., C. Pel\u00e1ez-Rodr\u00edguez, R. McAdam, A. Squintu, C.M. Marina, E. Lorente-Ramos, N. Luther, V. Torralba, E. Scoccimarro, L. Cavicchia, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, E. Zorita, F. Hansen, D. Barriopedro, R. Garcia-Herrera, P.A. Gutierrez, J. Luterbacher, E. Xoplaki, A. Castelletti, and S. Salcedo-Sanz (2025), Identifying Key Drivers of Heatwaves: A Novel Spatio-Temporal Framework for Extreme Event Detection<\/a>, Weather and Climate Extremes<\/em>, 49, 100792<\/p>\n

Camps-Valls, G. M.-\u00c1. Fern\u00e1ndez-Torres, K.-H. Cohrs, A. H\u00f6hl, A. Castelletti, A. Pacal, C. Robin, F. Martinuzzi, I. Papoutsis, I. Prapas, J. P\u00e9rez-Aracil, K. Weigel, M. Gonzalez-Calabuig, M. Reichstein, M. Rabel, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, M.D. Mahecha, O.-I. Popescu, O.J. Pellicer-Valero, S. Ouala, S. Salcedo-Sanz, S. Sippel, S. Kondylatos, T. Happ\u00e9, and T. Williams (2025), Artificial intelligence for modeling and understanding extreme weather and climate events<\/a>, Nature Communications<\/em>, 16, 1919<\/p>\n

Zanutto, D., A. Ficch\u00ec, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2025), Reinforcement learning of multi\u2010timescale forecast information for designing operating policies of multi\u2010purpose reservoirs<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 61<\/p>\n

P\u00e9rez-Aracil, J., C. Marina, E. Zorita, P. Zaninelli, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, P. Gutierrez, and S. Salcedo-Sanz (2024), Autoencoder-based flow-analogue probabilistic reconstruction of heat waves from pressure fields<\/a>, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences<\/em><\/p>\n

Ascenso, G., A. Ficch\u00ec, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, E. Scoccimarro, and A. Castelletti (2024), Downscaling, bias correction, and spatial adjustment of extreme tropical cyclone rainfall in ERA5 using deep learning<\/a>, Weather and Climate Extremes<\/em>, 46<\/p>\n

Jordan, S., J. Quinn, M. Zaniolo, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2024), Dam Reoperation to Mitigate Changing Climate Extremes in the Omo River Basin, Ethiopia<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 150(11)<\/p>\n

P\u00e9rez-Aracil, J., D. Fister, C. Marina, C. Pel\u00e1ez-Rodriguez, L. Cornejo-Bueno, P. Guti\u00e9rrez, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and S. Salcedo-Sanz (2024), Long-term temperature prediction with hybrid autoencoder algorithms<\/a>, Applied Computing and Geosciences<\/em>, 23<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2024), Integrating Inverse Reinforcement Learning and Direct Policy Search for modeling multipurpose water reservoir systems<\/a>, IEEE Control Systems Letters<\/em>, 8, 1529\u20131534<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong> and A. Castelletti (2024), Exploring the Climate Puzzle: A Surprising Twist in Fighting Climate Change<\/a>, Frontiers for Young Minds<\/em>, 12:1378858<\/p>\n

Arnold, W., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2024), Floating photovoltaics may reduce the risk of hydro-dominated energy development in Africa<\/a>, Nature Energy<\/em>, 9, 602\u2013611<\/p>\n

Quinn, J.D., P.M. Reed, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2024), Average domination: A new multi-objective value metric applied to assess the benefits of forecasts in reservoir operations under different flood design levels<\/a>, Advances in Water Resources, 185, 104638<\/p>\n

Salcedo-Sanz, S., J. Perez-Aracil, G. Ascenso, J. del Ser, D. Casillas-Perez, C. Kadow, D. Fister, D. Barriopedro, R. Garcia-Herrera, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2023), Analysis, characterization, prediction, and attribution of extreme atmospheric events with machine learning and deep learning techniques: a review<\/a>, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, <\/em>155, 1-44<\/p>\n

Crippa, N., M.G. Grillakis, A. Tsilimigkras, G. Yang, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A.G. Koutroulis (2023), Seasonal forecast-informed reservoir operation. Potential benefits for a water-stressed Mediterranean basin<\/a>, Climate Services<\/em>, 32, 100406<\/p>\n

Carlino, A.,\u00a0M. Wildemeersch, C.J. Chawanda, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, S. Sterl, W. Thiery, A. van Griensven, and A. Castelletti (2023),\u00a0Declining cost of renewables and climate change curb the need for African hydropower expansion<\/a>,\u00a0Science<\/em>, 381,\u00a0eadf5848<\/p>\n

Yang, G., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and S. Galelli (2023), Valuing the Codesign of Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Models<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 149(8), 04023037<\/p>\n

Cavicchia, L., E. Scoccimarro, G. Ascenso, A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and S. Gualdi (2023), Tropical cyclone genesis potential indices in a new high-resolution climate models ensemble: Limitations and way forward<\/a>, Geophysical Research Letters<\/em>, 50, e2023GL103001.<\/p>\n

Castelletti A., A. Ficch\u00ec, A. Cominola, P. Segovia, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, W. Wu, S. Lucia, C. Ocampo-Martinez, B. De Schutter, and J.M. Maestre (2023),\u00a0Model Predictive Control of water resources systems: A review and research agenda<\/a>,\u00a0Annual Reviews in Control<\/em>, 55,\u00a0442-465<\/p>\n

Arnold W., J. Zatarain Salazar, A. Carlino, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2023),\u00a0Operations eclipse sequencing in multipurpose dam planning<\/a>,\u00a0Earth\u2019s Future<\/em>, 11, e2022EF003186<\/p>\n

Valerio, C., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, A. Garrido, and L. De Stefano (2023), Multi-objective optimal design of interbasin water transfers: The Tagus-Segura aqueduct (Spain)<\/a>, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies<\/em>, 46, 101339<\/p>\n

Yang, G., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2023), Operationalizing equity in multipurpose water systems<\/a>, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences<\/em>, 27, 69\u201381.<\/p>\n

Jordan, S., J. Quinn, M. Zaniolo, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2022),\u00a0Advancing reservoir operations modelling in SWAT to reduce socio-ecological tradeoffs<\/a>,\u00a0Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 157<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, M. Zaniolo,\u00a0S.\u00a0Sinclair,\u00a0M.\u00a0Micotti,\u00a0J.\u00a0van Orshoven,\u00a0P.\u00a0Burlando, and A.\u00a0Castelletti (2022),\u00a0Participatory design of robust and sustainable development pathways in the Omo-Turkana river basin<\/a>, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies<\/em>, 41<\/p>\n

Fletcher, S., A. Hadjimichael, J. Quinn, K. Osman,\u00a0M.\u00a0Giuliani<\/strong>,\u00a0D.\u00a0Gold,\u00a0A.J.\u00a0Figueroa, and B. Gordon (2022),\u00a0Equity in Water Resources Planning: A Path Forward for Decision Support Modelers<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 148(7)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, J.R. Lamontagne, M.I. Hejazi,\u00a0P.M. Reed, and A. Castelletti (2022),\u00a0Unintended consequences of climate change mitigation for African river basins<\/a>, Nature\u00a0Climate Change<\/em>, 12, 187\u2013192<\/p>\n

Kergus, P., S. Formentin, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2022),\u00a0Learning-based hierarchical control of water reservoir systems<\/a>, IFAC Journal of Systems and Control<\/em>,\u00a0100185<\/p>\n

Casale, F., F. Fuso, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and D. Bocchiola (2021),\u00a0Exploring future vulnerabilities of subalpine Italian regulated lakes under different climate scenarios: bottom\u2010up vs top-down and CMIP5 vs CMIP6<\/a>,\u00a0Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies<\/em>, 38<\/p>\n

Stevanato, N., M.V. Rocco, M.Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and E. Colombo (2021),\u00a0Advancing the representation of reservoir hydropower in energy systems modelling: The case of Zambezi River Basin<\/a>,\u00a0PlosOne,\u00a0<\/em>16(12), e0259876<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, J.R. Lamontagne, P.M. Reed, and A. Castelletti (2021)\u00a0Confronting conflicting human pressures and a changing world: A state-of-the-art review of optimal reservoir control<\/a>,\u00a0Water Resources Research<\/em>, 0.1029\/2021WR029927<\/p>\n

Zaniolo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2021),\u00a0Policy Representation Learning for multiobjective reservoir policy design with different objective dynamics<\/a>,\u00a0Water Resources Research<\/em>, 10.1029\/2020WR029329<\/p>\n

Carlino, A., A. De Vita, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, P. Zamberletti, P. Capros., F. Recanati, M. Kannavou, A. Castelletti (2021),\u00a0Hydroclimatic change challenges the EU planned transition to a carbon neutral electricity system<\/a>,\u00a0Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, 16 104011<\/p>\n

Schmitt, R.J.P., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, S. Bizzi, G.M. Kondolf, G.C. Daily, and A. Castelletti (2021), Strategic basin and delta planning increases the resilience of the Mekong Delta under future uncertainty<\/a>, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/em>, 118 (36)<\/p>\n

Zaniolo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, S. Sinclair, P. Burlando, and A. Castelletti (2021),\u00a0When timing matters\u2014misdesigned dam filling impacts hydropower sustainability<\/a>,\u00a0Nature Communications<\/em>\u00a012<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, P. Fraternali, S. L. Herrera Gonzalez, J. C. Guardiola Herrero, J. Novak, A. E. Rizzoli (2021), Long-term water conservation is fostered by smart meter-based feedback and digital user engagement<\/a>, npj Clean Water<\/em>, 4<\/p>\n

Zaniolo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2021), Neuro-Evolutionary Direct Policy Search for Multiobjective Optimal Control<\/a>, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems<\/em><\/p>\n

Bertoni, F., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti,\u00a0and P.M.\u00a0Reed (2021), Designing with information feedbacks: Forecast informed reservoir sizing and operation<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 57<\/p>\n

Likmeta, A., A.M. Metelli, G. Ramponi,\u00a0A. Tirinzoni, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and M. Restelli (2021), Dealing with multiple experts and non-stationarity in inverse reinforcement learning: an application to real-life problems<\/a>,\u00a0Machine Learning\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, L. Crochemore, I. Pechlivanidis, and A. Castelletti (2020),\u00a0From skill to value: isolating the influence of end user behavior on seasonal forecast assessment<\/a>, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences<\/em>, 24<\/p>\n

Denaro, S., A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and G. Characklis (2020),\u00a0Insurance portfolio diversification through bundling for competing agents exposed to uncorrelated drought and flood risks<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 56, 1\u201320<\/p>\n

Guimar\u00e3es Nobre, G., H. de Moel, M. Giuliani<\/strong>,\u00a0K. Bischiniotis, J.C.J.H. Aerts,\u00a0and P.J. Ward (2020), What will the weather do? Forecasting flood losses based on oscillation indices<\/a>, Earth’s Future<\/em>, 8<\/p>\n

Giudici, F., A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and H.R. Maier (2020), An active learning approach for identifying the smallest subset of informative scenarios for robust planning under deep uncertainty<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 127<\/p>\n

Herman, J.D., J.D. Quinn, S. Steinschneider, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and S. Fletcher (2020), Climate adaptation as a control problem: Review and perspectives on dynamic water resources planning under uncertainty<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 56<\/p>\n

Bertoni, F., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2020), Integrated Design of Dam Size and Operations via Reinforcement Learning<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 146(4)<\/p>\n

Bertoni, F., A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and P.M. Reed (2019), Discovering dependencies, trade-offs, and robustness in joint dam design and operation: An ex-post assessment of the Kariba dam<\/a>, Earth’s Future<\/em>, 7<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, M. Zaniolo, A. Castelletti, G. Davoli, and P. Block (2019),\u00a0Detecting the state of the climate system via artificial intelligence to improve seasonal forecasts and inform reservoir operations<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 55<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., K. Nguyen, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, R.A. Stewart, H.R. Maier, and A. Castelletti (2019),\u00a0Data mining to uncover heterogeneous water use behaviors from smart meter data<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 55<\/p>\n

Hunink, J., G. Simons, S. Su\u00e1rez, A. Solera, J. Andreu, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, P. Zamberletti, M. Grillakis, A. Koutroulis, I. Tsanis, F. Schasfoort, S. Contreras, E. Ercin, and W. Bastiaanssen (2019), A simplified water accounting procedure to assess climate change impact on water resources for agriculture across different European river basins<\/a>, Water<\/em>, 11(10), 1976.<\/p>\n

Quinn, J.D., P.M. Reed, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti (2019),\u00a0What is controlling our control rules? Opening the black box of multireservoir operating policies using time\u2010varying sensitivity analysis<\/a>,\u00a0Water Resources Research<\/em>,\u00a0 55<\/p>\n

Giudici, F., A. Castelletti, E. Garofalo,\u00a0M. Giuliani<\/strong>, H.R. Maier (2019),\u00a0Dynamic, multi-objective optimal design and operation of water-energy systems for small, off-grid islands<\/a>, Applied Energy<\/em>, 250, 605-616<\/p>\n

Giuliani,\u00a0M.<\/strong> and J.D. Herman\u00a0(2018),\u00a0Modeling the behavior of water reservoir operators via eigenbehavior analysis<\/a>,\u00a0Advances in Water Resources<\/em>, 122<\/p>\n

Ros, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, G.W. Scurati, S. Graziosi, F. Ferrise, M. Bodegoni (2018),\u00a0Participated Planning of Large Water Infrastructures through Virtual Prototyping Technologies<\/a>, Technologies, 6(68)<\/p>\n

Quinn, J.D., P.M. Reed, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti,\u00a0J.W. Oyler,\u00a0R.E. Nicholas (2018),\u00a0Exploring how changing monsoonal dynamics and human pressures challenge multireservoir management for flood protection, hydropower production, and agricultural water supply<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 54<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, J. Quinn, J. Herman, A. Castelletti, and P. Reed (2018),\u00a0Scalable multi-objective control for large scale water resources systems under uncertainty<\/a>, IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology<\/em>, 26(4), 1492-1499<\/p>\n

Denaro, S., A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and G.W. Characklis (2018),\u00a0Fostering cooperation in power asymmetrical water systems by the use of direct release rules and index-based insurance schemes<\/a>, Advances in Water Resources<\/em>, 115, 301-314<\/p>\n

Biglarbeigi, P., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti (2018),\u00a0Partitioning the Impacts of Streamflow and Evaporation Uncertainty on the Operations of Multipurpose Reservoirs in Arid Regions<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 144(7)<\/p>\n

Mason, E., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, F. Amigoni (2018), Identifying and modelling dynamic preference evolution in multipurpose water resources systems<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 54, 3162-3175<\/p>\n

Zaniolo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, M. Pulido-Velasquez (2018), Automatic design of basin-specific drought indexes for highly regulated water systems<\/a>, Hydrology and Earth Systems Science<\/em>, 22, 2409-2424<\/p>\n

Stewart, R.A., K. Nguyen, C. Beal, H. Zhang, O. Sahin, E. Bertone, A.S. Vieira, A. Castelletti, A. Cominola, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, D. Giurco, M. Blumenstein, A. Turner, A. Liu, S. Kenway, D.A. Savi\u0107, C. Makropoulos, P. Kossieris (2018), Integrated intelligent water-energy metering systems and informatics: Visioning a digital multi-utility service provider<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 105, 94-117<\/p>\n

McPhail, C., H.R. Maier, J.H.\u00a0Kwakkel, M.<\/strong>\u00a0Giuliani, <\/strong>A.\u00a0Castelletti, and S. Westra (2018),\u00a0Robustness metrics: How are they calculated, when should they be used and why do they give different results?<\/a>,\u00a0Earth’s Future<\/em>, 6, 169-191<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, D.E. Rosenberg, A.M. Asdallah (2018), Implications of data sampling resolution on water use simulation, end-use disaggregation, and demand management<\/a>,\u00a0Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 102,\u00a0199-212<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., E.S. Spang, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti , J.R. Lund, F.J. Loge (2018),\u00a0Segmentation analysis of residential water-electricity demand for customized demand-side management programs<\/a>,\u00a0Journal of Cleaner Production<\/em>, 172, 1607-1619<\/p>\n

Herman, J.D. and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2018),\u00a0Policy tree optimization for threshold-based water resources management over multiple timescales<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 99, 39-51<\/p>\n

Zatarain Salazar, J., P.M. Reed, J.D. Quinn, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti \u00a0(2017),\u00a0Balancing exploration, uncertainty and computational demands in many objective reservoir optimization,<\/a>\u00a0Advances in Water Resources,<\/em> \u00a0109, \u00a0196-210<\/p>\n

Li, Y., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2017),\u00a0A coupled human\u2013natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture<\/a>,\u00a0Hydrology and Earth System Sciences<\/em>, 21, 4693-4709<\/p>\n

Quinn, J., P.M. Reed, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2017), Rival Framings: A Framework for Discovering how Problem Formulation Uncertainties Shape Risk Management Tradeoffs in Water Resources Systems<\/a>, Water Resources Research,<\/em> 53<\/p>\n

Denaro, S., D. Anghileri, M. Giuliani,<\/strong> and A. Castelletti (2017), Informing the operations of water reservoirs over multiple temporal scales by direct use of hydro-meteorological data<\/a>, Advances in Water Resources<\/em>, 103, 51\u201363<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, D. Piga, A. Castelletti, and A.E. Rizzoli (2017), A Hybrid Signature-based Iterative Disaggregation algorithm for Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring<\/a>, Applied Energy<\/em>, 185, 331\u2013344<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, R. Fedorov, and P. Fraternali (2016), Using crowdsourced web content for informing water systems operations in snow-dominated catchments<\/a>, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences<\/em>, 20, 5049\u20135062<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, Y. Li, A. Cominola, S. Denaro, E. Mason, and A. Castelletti (2016), A Matlab toolbox for designing Multi-Objective Optimal Operations of water reservoir systems<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 85, 293\u2013298<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, Y. Li, A. Castelletti, and C. Gandolfi (2016), A coupled human-natural systems analysis of irrigated agriculture under changing climate<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>,\u00a052<\/span>,\u00a06928<\/span>\u20136947<\/span><\/p>\n

Culley, S., S. Noble, A. Yates, M. Timbs, S. Westra, H. Maier, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2016), A bottom-up approach to identifying the maximum operational adaptive capacity of water resource systems to a changing climate<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>,\u00a052<\/span>,\u00a06751<\/span>\u20136768<\/span><\/p>\n

Zatarain-Salazar, J., P. Reed, J. Herman, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2016), A diagnostic assessment of evolutionary algorithms for multi-objective surface water reservoir control<\/a>, Advances in Water Resources<\/em>, 92, 172\u2013185<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, D. Anghileri, P. Vu, A. Castelletti, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2016), Large storage operations under climate change: expanding uncertainties and evolving tradeoffs<\/a>, Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, 11(3),<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2016), Is robustness really robust? How different definitions of robustness impact decision-making under climate change<\/a>, Climatic Change<\/em>, 135, 409\u2013424<\/p>\n

Piga, D., A. Cominola, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and A.E. Rizzoli (2016), Sparse optimization for automated energy end use disaggregation<\/a>, IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology<\/em>, 24(3), 1044\u20131051<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, F. Pianosi, E. Mason, and P. Reed (2016), Curses, tradeoffs, and scalable management: advancing evolutionary multi-objective direct policy search to improve water reservoir operations<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 142(2),\u00a004015050<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, F. Pianosi, and A. Castelletti (2015), Making the most of data: an information selection and assessment framework to improve water systems operations<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 51(11), 9073\u20139093<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, D. Piga, A. Castelletti, and A.E. Rizzoli (2015), Benefits and challenges of using smart meters for advancing residential water demand modeling and management: A review<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 72, 198\u2013214<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, F. Amigoni, and X. Cai (2015), Multiagent Systems and Distributed Constraint Reasoning for Regulatory Mechanism Design in Water Management<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 141(4), 04014068 (2016 Best Research-Oriented Paper Award<\/em>)<\/p>\n

Maier, H.R., Z. Kapelan, J. Kasprzyk, J. Kollat, L.S. Matott, M.C. Cunha, G.C. Dandy, M.S. Gibbs, E. Keedwell, A. Marchi, A. Ostfeld, D. Savic, D.P. Solomatine, J.A. Vrugt, A.C. Zecchin, B.S. Minsker, E.J. Barbour, G. Kuczera, F. Pasha, A. Castelletti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and P.M. Reed (2014), Evolutionary algorithms and other metaheuristics in water resources: Current status, research challenges and future directions<\/a>, Environmental Modelling & Software<\/em>, 62(0), 271\u2013299<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, J. Herman, A. Castelletti, and P. Reed (2014), Many-objective reservoir policy identification and refinement to reduce policy inertia and myopia in water management<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 50, 3355\u20133377<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, S. Galelli, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2014), A dimensionality reduction approach for Many-Objective Markov Decision Processes: application to a water reservoir operation problem<\/a>, Environmental Modeling & Software<\/em>, 57, 101\u2013114<\/p>\n

Castelletti, A., H. Yajima, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, R. Soncini-Sessa, and E. Weber (2014), Planning the Optimal Operation of a Multi\u2013Outlet Water Reservoir with Water Quality and Quantity Targets<\/a>, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management<\/em>, 140(4), 496-510<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2013), Assessing the value of cooperation and information exchange in large water resources systems by agent\u2013based optimization<\/a>, Water Resources Research<\/em>, 49, 3912\u20133926<\/p>\n

\n

<\/h4>\n

Book Chapters<\/h4>\n

Zatarain Salazar, J., A. Castelletti, and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2022),\u00a0Multi-Objective Robust Planning Tools<\/a>, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Environmental Science<\/em><\/p>\n

Zaniolo, M., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Bantider, and A. Castelletti (2021),\u00a0Hydropower development. Economic and environmental benefits and risks<\/a>, In\u00a0The Omo-Turkana Basin Cooperation for Sustainable Water Management<\/em>, edited by\u00a0J. Lautze,\u00a0M. McCartney, and\u00a0J. Gibson,\u00a0Routledge, London<\/p>\n

Castelletti, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2020),\u00a0Water Resources Planning and Management in a Changing Climate and Society<\/a>,\u00a0In\u00a0Innovations in Land, Water and Energy for Vietnam\u2019s Sustainable Development,<\/em>\u00a0edited by M. Anderle, Springer, Cham<\/p>\n

Castelletti, A., A. Cominola, A. Facchini, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, P. Fraternali, S. Herrera, M. Melenhorst, I. Micheel, J. Novak, C. Pasini, A.E. Rizzoli, and C. Rottondi (2018), Gamified approaches for Water Management Systems: an Overview,<\/a>\u00a0In Smart Water Grids \u2013 A Cyber-Physical Approach<\/em>, edited by\u00a0P. Tsakalides, A. Panousopoulou, G. Tsagkatakis, and L. Montestruque, CRC Press<\/p>\n

\n

<\/h4>\n

Conference\u00a0Papers<\/h4>\n
\n
\n
\n

Longo, E., D. Spinelli, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2025), Multi-objective fitted q-iteration: Random sampling for enhanced weights simplex exploration, in Proceedings of the 2nd IFAC Workshop on Integrated Assessment Modeling for Environmental Systems (IAMES 2022), IFAC PapersOnLine, vol. 59, pp. 339\u2013344<\/p>\n

Ferrero, M., D. Azzalini, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, F. Cerutti, and F. Amigoni (2025), Trustworthy inductive knowledge for tropical cyclones formation detection, in Hybrid Models for Coupling Deductive and Inductive Reasoning, Communications in Computer and Information Science, pp. 69\u201381<\/p>\n

Spinelli, D., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2024), Ensemble forecasts with blocked k-fold cross-validation in multi-objective water systems control, in Proceedings of the 2024 Euro- pean Control Conference (ECC24), Stockholm, Sweden<\/p>\n

Bonetti, P., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, V. Cardigliano, A. Metelli, M. Restelli, and A. Castelletti (2024), Interpretable machine learning for extreme events detection: An application to droughts in the Po River basin, in Proceedings of the International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR2024) Workshop: Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning, pp. 1\u201311<\/p>\n

Canonaco, G., A. Soprani, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, M. Roveri, and M. Restelli (2021), Time- variant variational transfer for value functions, in Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, vol. 161, edited by C. de Campos and M. H. Maathuis, pp. 876\u2013886<\/p>\n

Mauri, M., K. Pandey, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2022), Integrating local and global projections for the generation of water demand scenarios in the Red River Basin, Vietnam, in Pro- ceedings of the 2nd IFAC Workshop on Integrated Assessment Modeling for Environmental Systems (IAMES 2022), IFAC PapersOnLine, vol. 55, pp. 43\u201348<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Likmeta, A., A.M. Metelli, G. Ramponi, A. Tirinzoni, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and M. Restelli (2020), Handling Non-Stationary Experts in Inverse Reinforcement Learning: A Water System Control Case Study<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 34th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2020), Vancouver (Canada)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, M. Zaniolo, P. Block, and A. Castelletti (2020), Data-driven control of water reservoirs using an emulator of the climate system, in Proceedings of the 21th IFAC World Congress, vol. 53, pp. 16,531\u201316,536, online<\/p>\n

Carlino, A. , M. Giuliani<\/strong>, M. Tavoni, and A. Castelletti (2020), Multi-objective optimal control of a simple stochastic climate-economy model, in Proceedings of the 21th IFAC World Congress, vol. 53, pp. 16,593\u201316,598, online<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong> and A. Castelletti (2019),\u00a0Data-driven control of water reservoirs using El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation indexes<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 2019 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2019 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe (EEEIC \/ I CPS Europe), Genova (Italy)<\/p>\n

Bertoni, F., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2017), Scenario-based fitted Q-iteration for adaptive control of water reservoir systems under uncertainty<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 20th IFAC World Congress, Toulouse (France)<\/p>\n

Castelletti, A., R. Fedorov, P.\u00a0Fraternali, and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2016), Multimedia on the mountaintop: Using public snow images to improve water systems operation<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 2016 ACM on Multimedia Conference, Amsterdam (The Netherlands)<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., A. Moro, L. Riva, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and A. Castelletti (2016), Profiling residential water users\u2019 routines by eigenbehavior modelling<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 8th International Congress on Environmental Modeling and Software (iEMSs 2016), Toulouse (France)<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, A. Abdallah, and D. Rosenberg (2016), Developing a stochastic simulation model for the generation of residential water end-use demand time series<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 8th International Congress on Environmental Modeling and Software (iEMSs 2016), Toulouse (France)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, and J. Mossina (2016), Reducing the Intrusiveness of Energy and Water End-Use Disaggregation via Social Media and Users Interactions, in Proceedings of the workshops of the Tenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media Social Web for Environmental and Ecological Monitoring, Cologne (Germany)<\/p>\n

Amigoni, F., A. Castelletti, P. Gazzotti, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and E. Mason (2016), Using Multiagent Negotiation to Model Water Resources Systems Operations<\/a>, in Proceedings of the international workshop of the 2016 Autonomous Agents and MultiAgent Systems International Conference on Issues with Deployment of Emerging Agent-based Systems, Singapore (IDEAS\/AAMAS 2016 Best Paper Award<\/em>)<\/p>\n

Cominola, A., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, D. Piga, A. Castelletti, A.E. Rizzoli, and M. Anda (2015), Modelling residential water consumers\u2019 behaviors by feature selection and feature weighting<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 36th IAHR World Congress, The Hague (the Netherlands)<\/p>\n

Piga, D., A. Cominola, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and A.E. Rizzoli (2015), A convex optimization approach for automated water and energy end use disaggregation<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 36th IAHR World Congress, The Hague (the Netherlands)<\/p>\n

Amigoni, F., A. Castelletti, and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2015), Modeling the Management of Water Resources Systems Using Multi-Objective DCOPs<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2015), Istanbul (Turkey)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, E. Mason, A. Castelletti, F. Pianosi, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2014), Universal approximators for direct policy search in multi-purpose water reservoir management: A comparative analysis<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 19th IFAC World Congress, Cape Town (South Africa)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and P.M. Reed(2014), Improving the protection of aquatic ecosystems by dynamically constraining reservoir operation via direct policy conditioning<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 19th IFAC World Congress, Cape Town (South Africa)<\/p>\n

Beltrame, L., D. Carbonin, S. Galelli, A. Castelletti, and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2014), Quantifying ENSO impacts at the basin scale using the Iterative Input variable Selection algorithm<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 7th International Congress on Environmental Modeling and Software (iEMSs 2014), San Diego (CA)<\/p>\n

Arias, C., M. Brovelli, and M. Giuliani<\/strong> (2014), A FOSS based web geo-service architecture for data management in complex water resources contexts<\/a>, in Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydroinformatics (HIC2014), New York (NY)<\/p>\n

Biglarbeigi, P., M. Giuliani, and A. Castelletti (2014), Many-objective direct policy search in the Dez and Karoun multireservoir system, Iran<\/a>, in Proceedings of the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (ASCE EWRI 2014), Portland (Oregon)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M., A. Castelletti, S. Galelli, R. Soncini-Sessa, and E. Weber (2013), Many-objective operation of selective withdrawal reservoirs including water quality targets<\/a>, in Proceedings of the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress (ASCE EWRI 2013), Cincinnati (Ohio)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, F. Amigoni, and X. Cai (2012), Multi-Agent Systems optimization for distributed watershed management<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 6th International Congress on Environmental Modeling and Software (iEMSs 2012), Leipzig (Germany)<\/p>\n

Giuliani, M.<\/strong>, A. Castelletti, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2012), Multi-Agent Water Resources Management: centralized vs decentralized approach<\/a>, in Proceedings of the International Conference on Hydroinformatics (HIC2012), Hamburg (Germany)<\/p>\n

Anand, A., S. Galelli, M. Giuliani<\/strong>, L. Samavedham, and D. Schwanenberg (2011), Coordinating multiple model predictive controllers for water reservoir networks operation<\/a>, in Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2011), Perth (Australia)<\/p>\n

Galelli, S., M. Giuliani<\/strong>, and R. Soncini-Sessa (2011), Dealing with many-objectives problems in water resources planning and management<\/a>, in Proceedings of the 18th IFAC World Congress, Milan (Italy)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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